What EEG Foundation Models Encode: Dataset Identity and a Negative-Control Suite for Clinical Benchmarks

arXiv:2607.24519v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Pretrained EEG foundation models are proposed for clinical decoding, but whether reported gains transfer across populations or survive negative controls is unclear. We benchmark LaBraM, EEGMamba, CBraMod, REVE, LEAD, BENDR, and BIOT on five clinical tasks across four datasets. Primary analyses use frozen linear probes with subject-disjoint LOSO or grouped five-fold validation. Because CAUEEG releases no patient identifiers, it is evaluated at recording level with a patient-disjoint sensitivity. We challenge apparent gains using stronger classical comparators, label permutation, scrambled-label fine-tuning, and random-initialisation controls. In a matched 19-channel CAUEEG evaluation (Normal/MCI/Dementia; N = 1,187 recordings), classical features achieve 0.734 macro-AUROC versus 0.699 for BIOT, 0.669 for CBraMod, and 0.568 for REVE. A patient-disjoint sensitivity retains the classical-over-REVE ordering (0.717 versus 0.565). Dataset identity is decoded from frozen REVE embeddings at or near ceiling across Western-Korean and Western-Western pairs, including after PCA-50 and removal of line-frequency and amplitude-scale information. This establishes dataset membership, not a causal site or population effect. A matched random-initialised encoder exceeds pretrained REVE on CAUEEG (0.659 versus 0.570). On CHB-MIT cross-subject ictal detection (n = 23), REVE reaches 0.793, versus 0.739 for the best enhanced nonlinear comparator, 0.701 for random initialisation, and 0.505 for raw-signal random features. Because preprocessing removes absolute amplitude, this does not establish superiority over every plausible handcrafted baseline. Conclusions change materially after montage matching, patient-overlap checks, stronger comparators, and representation controls. We distill these checks into a reporting protocol for clinical EEG foundation-model studies.